The market strongly favors a match outcome over 21.5 points.
With a market probability of 99.95% for the match exceeding 21.5 points, the consensus is overwhelmingly in favor of this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability, indicating strong confidence in the prediction. The edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting the high certainty around this outcome.
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Matteo Martineau in the Cherbourg, scheduled for March 9 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.