Tiafoe vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5

The market strongly favors the match going over 21.5 games.

With a market probability of 99.95% for the match to exceed 21.5 games, the consensus is overwhelmingly in favor of this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly lower confidence at 98.45%. The edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, indicating balanced expectations among participants.

• 1 Market sentiment is extremely bullish on the over 21.5 games.
• 2 The probability gap indicates strong confidence in the outcome.
• 3 Historical performance of both players suggests competitive matches.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current market prices.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in player conditions.

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Jakub Mensik in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 23 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.