The market is evenly split on whether the match will exceed 22.5 games.
With both market and AI probabilities at 50% for YES and NO, the match outcome appears highly uncertain. The confidence level of 75/100 suggests a moderate belief in the current pricing, indicating that any slight shift in sentiment could impact the probabilities.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Arthur Gea in the Zadar, scheduled for March 22 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.