Trungelliti vs. Houkes: Match O/U 22.5

The market strongly favors the match going over 22.5 games.

With a market probability of 99.95% for the match to exceed 22.5 games, there is a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view at 98.45%, indicating a high level of confidence in the outcome. However, the edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of the match going over 22.5 games.
• 2 The high confidence level indicates strong belief in the outcome among participants.
• 3 Market pricing suggests that expectations are aligned with statistical analysis.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 29 hours, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, allowing for efficient trading conditions.

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Max Houkes in the Kigali 2, scheduled for March 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.