The market favors a NO outcome for the fight between Hardwick and Rahiki.
The current market probabilities indicate a strong preference for the NO outcome at 71.5%, suggesting that participants believe Harry Hardwick is unlikely to win. With a confidence level of 80/100 and a fair pricing edge, the market reflects a balanced assessment of the fighters' chances. The time to expiry is short, indicating that any last-minute developments could influence the probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Harry Hardwick" if Harry Hardwick is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.