UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Market favors a YES outcome for Sousa vs. Oki fight at 69.5%.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood of a YES outcome for the fight between Manoel Sousa and Bolaji Oki, with a probability of 69.5%. The Pulse AI corroborates this sentiment with a slightly lower probability of 68%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting balanced expectations among participants.

• 1 Current market probability is 69.5% for YES outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market at 68% for YES.
• 3 Market edge indicates fair pricing with minimal discrepancy.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, reflecting uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 5 hours, increasing urgency in decision-making.

This market will resolve to "Manoel Sousa" if Manoel Sousa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bolaji Oki at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026.

It will resolve to "Bolaji Oki" if Bolaji Oki is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.