Market strongly favors a NO outcome for the fight between Rendon and Mesquita.
The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability for a NO outcome, suggesting a strong consensus against the fight occurring. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, reflecting a low likelihood of a YES outcome. Given the high confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced with minimal expected volatility in the remaining time.
This market will resolve to "Montserrat Rendon" if Montserrat Rendon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bia Mesquita at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Bia Mesquita" if Bia Mesquita is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.