Will Adrian Yanez win by KO or TKO?

Adrian Yanez has a 37.5% chance to win by KO or TKO according to the market.

The prediction market indicates a 37.5% probability for Yanez to win by KO or TKO, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood at 42.5%. However, the edge of 5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment, and the market sentiment leans towards a NO outcome at 62.5%.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome at 62.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a higher probability for YES at 42.5%.
• 3 Edge of 5 suggests data is insufficient for a strong conclusion.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 14 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adrian Yanez defeats Ricky Simon at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.