Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The market indicates a low probability of Africa winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

With a market probability of 4.6% for Africa winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome at 95.4%. The confidence level of 75/100 suggests a moderate certainty in this prediction, indicating that the market is fairly priced with no significant edge.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Africa winning.
• 2 Historical performance of African teams in World Cups has been mixed.
• 3 Market pricing suggests no significant edge in current probabilities.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Future events could significantly alter the perception of African teams' chances.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.