Will Alexander Albon achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Albon to achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying.

The market shows a very low probability of 0.05% for Alexander Albon to secure pole position, indicating strong skepticism among participants. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 1.55%, suggesting a marginally more optimistic view, but still firmly in the 'NO' camp. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 138 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for Albon's pole position.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher but still low probability for 'YES'.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly valued.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry of 138 hours allows for potential shifts in sentiment.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.