Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low likelihood of Alexander Albon finishing on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The prediction market indicates a 0.05% chance of Albon finishing on the podium, suggesting strong skepticism about his performance. The Pulse AI gives a slightly higher probability of 1%, but both sources align on a low expectation for a podium finish. With 155 hours until the event, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%.
• 3 Current market sentiment reflects low confidence in Albon's podium potential.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is well-aligned with AI predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 155 hours, adding urgency to market movements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Chinese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Chinese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.