Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

The market strongly favors that Albon will not secure pole position at the 2026 Japanese GP.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Alexander Albon will not achieve pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a slight chance of 1% for a YES outcome. Given the high confidence level of 80/100 and the time remaining until the event, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Albon achieving pole position.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a minimal chance for a YES outcome.
• 3 High confidence level indicates stability in current market views.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 161 hours.
• 5 No significant liquidity concerns noted in this market.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.