Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Albon to win the 2026 Japanese Grand Prix.

The market indicates a very low likelihood of Alexander Albon winning the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, with a 0.05% probability for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 5.05%, but overall confidence remains low at 50/100 due to insufficient data.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Albon's historical performance may not support a win.
• 3 Market liquidity appears low, affecting price stability.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential changes in team dynamics.
• 5 The edge score indicates uncertainty in predictions.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.