Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Amen Thompson has a very low chance of winning the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.

The prediction market indicates a 0.15% probability for Amen Thompson to win the Defensive Player of the Year, suggesting minimal confidence in his candidacy. In contrast, the AI model estimates a slightly higher probability of 1.65%, indicating some potential for optimism. However, both sources agree that the likelihood of him winning is extremely low.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.65%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 2546 hours, allowing for potential shifts in player performance.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.