Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Amen Thompson is highly unlikely to win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player award.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Amen Thompson winning the Most Improved Player award, with a probability of only 0.05% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting that current sentiment and expectations are firmly against his candidacy, although there is some minor variance in the probabilities.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher YES probability at 1.55%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 2292 hours, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.