Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Antonelli to achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying.

The market shows a strong consensus against Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieving pole position, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The AI model also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of success for Antonelli in this event.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%.
• 3 Market edge of 0.95 indicates fair pricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 150 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.