Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

High probability for Antonelli to finish on the podium at the 2026 Japanese GP.

The market indicates a strong belief in Andrea Kimi Antonelli's chances of finishing on the podium, with a 79.5% probability. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly lower confidence at 74.5%, reflecting some uncertainty in the data. With 227 hours until the event, there is still time for factors to influence these probabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a podium finish for Antonelli.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly lower confidence compared to market probability.
• 3 The edge of -5 indicates insufficient data for a strong assessment.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50 out of 100.
• 5 Time remaining until the event allows for potential shifts in probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.