Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Arizona has an 11% chance to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with a strong NO sentiment.

The market indicates an 11% probability for Arizona to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, suggesting a strong belief in their unlikelihood of success. The confidence level is moderate at 75/100, indicating some uncertainty but a general consensus on the NO outcome. With 603 hours until the market expires, there is ample time for shifts in sentiment based on team performance or player changes.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Arizona.
• 2 Current probability aligns with historical performance trends.
• 3 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Market is currently balanced with no significant edge detected.
• 5 Time remaining allows for potential shifts in team dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.