Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Market strongly favors Arkansas not winning the 2026 NCAA Tournament.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Arkansas winning the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with a 99.45% chance of a NO outcome. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus on Arkansas's chances. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.45.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Arkansas's historical performance may influence perceptions.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 595 hours.
• 5 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in current probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.