Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Arthur Fils has a low probability of winning the 2026 Men's US Open.

The prediction market shows a 3.05% chance of Arthur Fils winning the 2026 Men's US Open, while the Pulse AI estimates it slightly higher at 4.55%. Both sources indicate a strong consensus that he is unlikely to win, with a confidence level of 60 out of 100 suggesting moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Market probability suggests low confidence in Fils' chances.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher but still indicates low likelihood.
• 3 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in player performance.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.