Will Arvid Lindblad achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Arvid Lindblad to achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying.

The market indicates a very low chance of Arvid Lindblad securing pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, with a market probability of only 0.05%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 1.55%, but overall sentiment remains firmly against his chances. With 38 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1.55%.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the market's assessment.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 38 hours, limiting potential shifts.
• 5 Current odds imply that significant events are needed for a change in probability.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.