Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Arvid Lindblad to podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix.

The market shows a strong consensus against Arvid Lindblad finishing on the podium, with a 99.25% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, assigning only a 5.75% chance for a podium finish, indicating a significant gap between market sentiment and AI predictions.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance for 'YES'.
• 3 Current edge indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 234 hours.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.