Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Market suggests Aryna Sabalenka has a 31% chance to win the 2026 Women’s US Open.

The prediction market indicates a 31% probability for Aryna Sabalenka to win the 2026 Women’s US Open, while the AI model slightly adjusts this to 32.5%. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced with a minor edge of 1.5. The time to expiry is significant at 4453 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors 'NO' at 69%.
• 2 The AI model shows a slight increase in Sabalenka's chances.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time until the event allows for significant changes in player form.
• 5 Historical performance may influence future expectations.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.