Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Asia winning the 2026 World Cup.

With a market probability of 1.80% for a YES outcome and 98.2% for NO, the consensus is that Asia is unlikely to win the tournament. The Pulse AI corroborates this view with identical probabilities, indicating a stable market perception.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Asia winning.
• 2 Historical performance of Asian teams in World Cups has been limited.
• 3 Market probability suggests a well-balanced view with no significant edge.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future market shifts.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.