Will Australia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Australia is highly favored to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 100% probability for Australia qualifying, supported by a 99% AI probability. This indicates a high level of confidence in Australia's chances, although the edge suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in Australia's qualification.
• 2 AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Current edge indicates fair pricing with no significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts based on upcoming matches.

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).