Axel Sola has a slight edge to win by KO or TKO, but the market is closely contested.
The market shows a 53.50% probability for Axel Sola to win by KO or TKO, indicating a narrow lead over the 46.5% for a NO outcome. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with minimal edge. With 9 hours until expiry, the situation remains fluid and could change rapidly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Axel Sola defeats Mason Jones at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.