Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Belgium has a low probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 1.85%.

The market indicates a strong belief that Belgium will not win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with a probability of 98.15% for a NO outcome. The current pricing suggests that the market is fairly balanced, with no significant edge identified.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Belgium winning.
• 2 Belgium's historical performance in World Cups may influence perceptions.
• 3 The market probability reflects a consensus among bettors.
• 4 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in team dynamics.
• 5 No significant edge suggests that the market is accurately priced.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.