Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Market suggests a low probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by 2026.

The current market probability indicates a 35.5% chance of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by the end of 2026, with a stronger consensus against it at 64.5%. The Pulse AI slightly increases the likelihood to 37.5%, but overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards Bitcoin not reaching $100,000.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a cautious outlook among traders.
• 3 Historical trends show volatility in Bitcoin prices, impacting predictions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.