Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Market indicates low probability for Bitcoin to hit $1 million by 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Bitcoin reaching $1 million by the end of 2026, with a 98.35% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 3.65% for 'YES', indicating some divergence in sentiment but overall confidence remains high in the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests differing perspectives.
• 3 Historical trends show Bitcoin volatility but not reaching extreme price points.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trading activity.
• 5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.