Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Cameron Smith has a low chance of winning the 2026 Masters tournament.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Cameron Smith winning the 2026 Masters, with a probability of only 0.55% for a YES outcome. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability, which also indicates a low likelihood of victory at 2.05%. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Smith's recent performance may influence future probabilities.
• 3 Historical data suggests low win rates for players with similar odds.
• 4 Liquidity in the market indicates limited interest in betting on Smith.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in player form or conditions.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.