Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Market shows low confidence in Sainz Jr. achieving pole position in Sprint Qualifying.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Carlos Sainz Jr. securing pole position, with a 0.05% chance compared to a 99.95% chance of him not achieving it. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting a consensus that Sainz Jr. is unlikely to perform well in this context. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Sainz Jr.'s historical performance in qualifying may influence perceptions.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent betting activity.
• 4 Time pressure of 57 hours may lead to last-minute adjustments in odds.
• 5 The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.