Will Casey O'Neill win by KO or TKO?

Casey O'Neill has a slight edge to win by KO or TKO, but it's a close call.

The market shows a 52% probability for Casey O'Neill to win by KO or TKO, while the AI model suggests a slightly lower 49%. With only 7 hours until expiry and a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.

• 1 Market probability indicates a close contest for O'Neill's KO or TKO win.
• 2 AI model suggests a slightly lower chance than market estimates.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Market edge of -3 indicates fair pricing with minimal bias.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Casey O'Neill defeats Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.