Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Market strongly favors Charles Leclerc not securing pole position in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Charles Leclerc will not achieve pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus on his chances. The market appears fairly priced, reflecting a high confidence level.

• 1 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against Leclerc securing pole.
• 2 Market probability shows no confidence in Leclerc's chances.
• 3 Historical performance may influence future expectations.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is stable, reflecting consistent betting patterns.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.