Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Charles Leclerc to win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The market indicates a 6% chance of Charles Leclerc winning the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, with a strong consensus against it at 94%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 7.5%, but overall confidence in the market remains moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Leclerc's historical performance may influence future probabilities.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 192 hours.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 22, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.