Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Curtis defeats Myktybek Orolbai at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.