Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?

The market indicates a low probability of Collin Morikawa winning the 2026 Masters.

Currently, the prediction market assigns a 2.8% chance of Collin Morikawa winning the 2026 Masters tournament, suggesting a strong consensus against his victory. The market appears fairly priced, with a confidence level of 75 out of 100, indicating moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Current market probability shows strong skepticism about Morikawa's chances.
• 2 The edge of 0 indicates no significant mispricing in the market.
• 3 Confidence level of 75 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry of 811 hours allows for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Historical performance and current form will heavily influence future probabilities.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.