Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20?

Market indicates low likelihood of crude oil hitting $110 by March 20.

The prediction market shows an 88% probability that crude oil will not reach $110 by March 20, with a lower AI probability of 15.5% for a YES outcome. The edge of 3.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 Geopolitical stability is crucial for oil price movements.
• 3 Historical trends show oil prices are volatile but rarely spike dramatically in short timeframes.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 70 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day between March 16 and March 20, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

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