Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 20?

The market indicates a low probability of Crude Oil hitting $140 by March 20.

Current market probabilities show a strong consensus against Crude Oil reaching $140, with a 98.2% likelihood of it not occurring. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 98.2%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance at 5.3%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 70 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day between March 16 and March 20, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market