Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Market indicates low likelihood of crude oil hitting $45 by June's end.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against crude oil reaching $45, with a 94.5% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low chance of this price point being hit before the deadline.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors prices staying above $45.
• 2 Historical data suggests crude oil has rarely dipped to such lows in recent years.
• 3 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in current pricing.
• 4 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

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