Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Market favors crude oil staying above $55 by end of June.

The prediction market indicates a 78% probability that crude oil will not hit a low of $55 by the end of June. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 25.5% for this outcome, indicating a consensus that prices are likely to remain above this threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards crude oil prices staying above $55.
• 2 The market probability suggests a strong belief in price stability.
• 3 Historical data shows crude oil prices have fluctuated but often remain above key thresholds.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears adequate for current trading activity.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 2662 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

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