Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 20?

Market indicates low likelihood of crude oil hitting $70 by March 20.

The prediction market shows a 1.7% probability for crude oil to hit a low of $70 by March 20, with a consensus leaning heavily towards 'NO' at 98.3%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a low chance of this outcome occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a consensus on stability.
• 3 Historical trends indicate crude oil prices are unlikely to drop below $70 soon.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting investor confidence.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 69 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day between March 16 and March 20, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market