Crude Oil's chance of hitting $85 by June is closely contested at 49% yes and 51% no.
The prediction market shows a nearly even split on whether Crude Oil will reach a low of $85 by the end of June, with a slight edge to the 'no' side. The Pulse AI suggests a marginally higher probability for a 'yes' outcome, indicating some uncertainty in market sentiment. With a confidence level of 65/100, traders may be weighing various economic factors influencing oil prices.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures)