Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

The market strongly believes Crude Oil will hit $85 by end of March.

With a market probability of 100% for a low of $85 and an AI probability of 98.5%, there is a strong consensus on this outcome. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting high confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish on hitting $85.
• 2 Key factors include global supply and demand dynamics.
• 3 Historical data shows similar price movements under current conditions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is unknown, but confidence remains high.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures