Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 20?

Market favors NO for Crude Oil hitting $85 by March 20.

The prediction market shows a 79% probability that Crude Oil will not hit $85 by March 20, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance at 24.5% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 65/100 and a time to expiry of 52 hours, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

• 1 Current sentiment leans strongly towards NO.
• 2 Market probability indicates a low likelihood of hitting $85.
• 3 AI model suggests a slightly higher probability for YES than the market.
• 4 Confidence level reflects moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time pressure is building with only 52 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day between March 16 and March 20, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market