Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?

Market indicates low probability for crude oil settling at $70-$75 in March.

The prediction market shows a strong preference against crude oil settling in the $70-$75 range, with a probability of only 10.25%. This contrasts with the Pulse AI's slightly higher estimate of 13.75%, suggesting a divergence in expectations. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 Key factors influencing prices include geopolitical stability and economic data.
• 3 Historical trends show that oil prices can be volatile around expiry dates.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no major fluctuations noted.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 486 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that