Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?

Market leans towards Crude Oil not settling in the $80-$85 range in March.

The prediction market shows an 83% probability against Crude Oil settling in the $80-$85 range for March, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 20.5% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a market edge of 3.5, the current pricing appears fairly balanced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Key factors include global economic conditions and supply chain stability.
• 3 Historical data suggests lower likelihood of prices settling in this range.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with no major disruptions noted.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 505 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that