Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Low probability for Medvedev to win the 2026 Men's US Open.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Daniil Medvedev winning the 2026 Men's US Open, with a probability of only 2.65%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, indicating a general lack of confidence in his chances. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting that current sentiments are stable.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Medvedev.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly increases the likelihood of a YES outcome compared to the market.
• 3 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry of 4388 hours allows for significant shifts in player performance and market dynamics.
• 5 Current probabilities suggest a stable market with no immediate volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.