Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Dominican Republic has a 22% chance to win the 2026 World Baseball Classic.

The prediction market indicates a 22% probability for the Dominican Republic to win the upcoming World Baseball Classic, suggesting a stronger belief in other teams. The market appears fairly priced, with no significant edge identified. Confidence in this probability stands at 75 out of 100, reflecting a moderate level of certainty.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome at 78%.
• 2 The Dominican Republic's historical performance in baseball is strong but not guaranteed.
• 3 Market pricing suggests no significant edge, indicating balanced expectations.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is 212 hours, allowing for potential shifts in team dynamics.

This market will resolve to the team that wins the 2026 World Baseball Classic (WBC).

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 WBC per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 WBC tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.