Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Low probability for Rybakina to win the 2026 Women’s US Open.

The market shows a 9.7% probability for Elena Rybakina winning the 2026 Women’s US Open, indicating skepticism about her chances. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 11.2%, but both figures reflect a consensus that her likelihood of victory is low. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily against Rybakina winning.
• 2 The probability gap suggests limited confidence in her chances.
• 3 Historical performance and current form are critical factors.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest.
• 5 Time until the event allows for significant changes in player form.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.