Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Elise Mertens has a low probability of winning the 2026 Women’s US Open.

The prediction market indicates a 0.55% chance of Elise Mertens winning, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 2.05%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 4445 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Mertens winning.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest limited confidence in her chances.
• 3 The market edge indicates fair pricing with no significant mispricing.
• 4 Long time to expiry allows for potential shifts in player performance.
• 5 Historical performance data may influence future market adjustments.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.